Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 175.151551 207.877023 247.997048 301.837817 373.881252 4.695796e+02 611.179524
2025-01-19 130.379017 167.046643 217.562410 295.602265 420.157758 6.263179e+02 1035.448912
2025-01-26 115.734678 156.805384 218.602435 325.624118 525.348414 9.370205e+02 2094.558340
2025-02-02 109.343998 155.525109 230.720716 375.911652 694.503068 1.544069e+03 5539.184999
2025-02-09 96.335694 140.833814 216.667628 373.057840 754.284827 1.981118e+03 11400.309574
2025-02-16 87.622743 131.332563 209.027538 379.679227 842.369344 2.681132e+03 32896.821524
2025-02-23 80.789571 123.762868 203.059220 387.593641 942.251453 3.714576e+03 191493.760151
2025-03-02 75.619445 118.243373 199.747697 400.506084 1072.073770 5.474150e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 70.462743 111.974284 193.638174 404.375636 1177.555001 7.813147e+03 NaN
2025-03-16 64.617208 103.686031 181.878344 389.549084 1198.128997 9.637043e+03 NaN
2025-03-23 61.918859 101.048355 181.765371 407.507351 1390.151159 1.716644e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 56.993411 93.541638 169.712739 386.587461 1369.354560 2.029331e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 53.515812 89.020590 164.842661 390.239878 1519.635266 3.899197e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 49.635081 83.351592 156.615476 381.341523 1596.881157 7.089116e+04 NaN
2025-04-20 48.824937 83.806033 162.963595 424.763618 2149.847358 1.835218e+06 NaN
2025-04-27 49.046647 86.427009 175.308909 498.988676 3338.241458 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 46.237698 82.144569 168.863966 494.727684 3663.678962 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 44.188325 79.318915 165.867289 504.622824 4305.035113 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 42.385633 76.852267 163.438376 516.490832 5140.359606 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 40.935515 75.033578 162.533590 535.947591 6439.713633 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 39.258072 72.522333 159.205254 541.800852 7581.914600 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 37.068367 68.629862 151.238781 519.429870 7615.342999 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 36.157825 67.677620 151.986185 546.545590 10300.811134 NaN NaN